Royals vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 7/23/23

New York Yankees (52-47) vs Kansas City Royals (28-72)

Game Info: Sunday, July 23, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Luis Severino (1-4) (6.66) vs Jordan Lyles (1-11) (5.87)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees -200 / Kansas City Royals +155 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Yankees and the Kansas City Royals will meet for their series finale this Sunday in the Bronx from Yankee Stadium on YES. New York picked up another victory in Game two, 5-2.

Royals Betting Preview

Kansas City comes in at 28-72 after falling to New York. The Royals were able to play spoiler Saturday, and they’ll look to avoid a fifth straight loss here. The Kansas City offense is scoring 3.35 runs per Game, while batting .232, with a .295 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.23 ERA, with a 1.47 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. snapped a hitless streak with a pair of base knocks in Game two, and leads KC in hits (97), homers (16) and RBI (51). Maikel Garcia has recorded a hit in five of the last six Games, and he leads the Royals in batting (.277). Salvador Perez has gone without a hit in each of his last four Games, but he remains second on the team with 15 home runs and 40 RBI. 

Jordan Lyles (1-11, 6.42 ERA, 69 Ks) will take the mound for Kansas City. The tenth-year pitcher returned to action with a strong outing against Detroit, tossing six shutout innings, but a lack of run support led to a no decision. It’s got to be mentally exhausting at this point for Lyles, as his record could use the reward, and it’s happened a handful of times already. Now Lyles hasn’t been elite by any stretch, but he’s managed to  consistently eat innings, and there’s hope he can find a new home at the deadline. This start in the Bronx could go south, or turn into another contender tryout for the journeyman.

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Yankees Betting Preview

New York moved to 52-47 after defeating Kansas City. The Yankees came through again in Game two, and they’ll look to bring the brooms out in the Bronx Sunday. The New York offense is scoring 3.87 runs per Game, while batting .230, with a .300 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.87 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP. Gleyber Torres has produced a run in five of the last seven Games, and he’s leading NYY in hits (97), while posting a line of .264/15/41. Giancarlo Stanton powered the Game two win by homering and bringing in three runs, and he’s totaled 13 home runs and 33 RBI for the season. Anthony Rizzo snapped a four-Game hitless streak with a hit on Saturday, and  he’s posting identical splits of .244/11/39. 

Lou Severino (1-4, 6.66 ERA, 34 Ks) will take the bump for New York. The eighth-year pitcher opened the second half with a good outing in Anaheim, going six innings and holding the Angels to just one run, but he was unable to secure the decision. Severino had the victory wrapped up until Shohei Ohtani came through and tied the contest with fireworks after he was pulled, but it was an optimistic sign for the former All-Star who’s struggled this season. If Severino is truly able to put a rough first half behind him, it’d be huge for the Yanks going forward. 

Kansas City vs New York Trends

Kansas City is 36-64 against the spread this season, with a 45-53-2 O/U record. New York is 51-48 ATS this year, with a 43-52-4 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Kansas City comes into a really pesky spot after finishing close all weekend, but it opens a pair of angles for this matchup. The Yankees winning a Game with consistent production at the plate was a good sign, and they have a chance to do the same here against Jordan Lyles, who was someone they gave trouble last season when he was in Baltimore. The possibility of Lou Severino regressing isn’t out of the question either, so while we avoided overthinking with the Yanks in Game two, let’s be precautious here and take the Over for this series finale. 

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